Graeme’s

The Huffington Post and AOL

Posted by Graeme in Internet,Media,Shares at 9:14 am on Tuesday, 8 February 2011

The Huffington Post may not be a bad buy at the price AOL is paying, but that does not mean that AOL is right to buy it. (more…)

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Demand Media IPO

Posted by Graeme in Internet,Shares at 7:37 am on Sunday, 15 August 2010

I usually comment only on British companies (as investments, that is), but I also like to keep an eye on tech and internet companies, and on anything that illustrates a point. Demand Media falls in to both categories. (more…)

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Blog split

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Internet,Shares at 9:57 am on Saturday, 26 January 2008

I have effectively split this blog into two. I will stop posting on investment and finance related topics here, and instead post on my new blog on my Moneyterms site. (more…)

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Wogen not irrationally priced

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 12:56 pm on Friday, 10 August 2007

Richard Beddard appears to be willing to agree with me that most active investors will under-perform. We still disagree about how investors’ chances of out-performing are. Richard has focused on a particular company , Wogen, as an example of irrational underpricing. Naturally, it is now essential that I poke a few holes in his bullish analysis. (more…)

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The end of academic publishing

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Economics,Media,Shares at 7:20 am on Thursday, 26 July 2007

It has been clear to many analysts (including myself) for years that publishers of academic journals were facing the slow death of their business. Despite the view of publishers and the more optimistic analysts that peer reviews journals were irreplaceable, the evidence continues to emerge for a slow, but certain, decline. (more…)

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Will equity returns stay high?

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 9:44 am on Saturday, 21 July 2007

The fascinating information on the drivers of returns on equities between the fifties and the nineties dug up by Richard Beddard, has a worrying aspect. Much of the gain came from one-off changes, so returns may not be as good in the future. (more…)

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Emerging markets, inflation and currency risk

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 1:12 pm on Thursday, 12 April 2007

A post at Interactive Investor Blog on the nominal good performance of Zimbabwe’s stock exchange, is a useful reminder of the importance of real returns. This works both ways, and is why equity investors should not worry too much about currency risk. (more…)

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Can Woolworths recover?

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 9:04 am on Thursday, 12 April 2007

I have never liked Woolworths, with its weak brand, unfocused retail format, and uncertain wholesale business. Now, at a time when things could not look worse, I am changing my mind. (more…)

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Vodafone’s loss that wasn’t

Posted by Graeme in Shares,Wrong at 9:22 am on Friday, 15 September 2006

According to most of the press Vodafone made a £15bn loss in the 2005/6 financial year. The largest loss ever made by a British company. In fact, it would be more accurate to say that the company made a real profit but an accounting loss. (more…)

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Skyepharma – problems solved, price still down

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 12:03 pm on Monday, 2 May 2005

Either the market is simply not prepared to be anything but negative on Skyepharma or I am missing something. The problems with Paxil continue, but Skyepharma has been shielded from the effects of this by a new agreement with Glaxosmithkline’s which gives Skyepharma the royalties on the budgeted sales until normal sales resume.
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