Graeme's

Emerging markets, inflation and currency risk

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 1:12 pm on Thursday, 12 April 2007

A post at Interactive Investor Blog on the nominal good performance of Zimbabwe’s stock exchange, is a useful reminder of the importance of real returns. This works both ways, and is why equity investors should not worry too much about currency risk. (more…)

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Can Woolworths recover?

Posted by Graeme in Shares at 9:04 am on Thursday, 12 April 2007

I have never liked Woolworths, with its weak brand, unfocused retail format, and uncertain wholesale business. Now, at a time when things could not look worse, I am changing my mind. (more…)

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The future of newspapers

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Internet at 10:28 am on Monday, 9 April 2007

Judging by this interview, it appears that at least one major investor in newspapers in the US is over-optimistic about the impact of the internet. It reflects the same problem as the trends we have seen in British newspaper circulation. (more…)

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Free market hypocrisy: Part 2

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Economics at 10:17 am on Monday, 2 April 2007

My previous post on hypocrisy about free markets may given the impression that I am opposed to free markets. My problem is not with free markets per se, but with inconsistency and hypocrisy in advocating them, and with regarding free markets as a panacea. (more…)

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The end of sell-side?

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment at 7:55 am on Friday, 23 March 2007

Merril Lynch’s widely reported reduction in access to its sell-side research is something that I would interpret as a sign of trouble. I expect things to get worse for sell-side research, and I wonder what could replace it. (more…)

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The unpredictability of house prices

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Economics at 12:06 pm on Monday, 19 March 2007

House prices are very sensitive to comparatively small changes in supply and demand. This, together with undertainties in the long term forecasts, makes long term prospects very uncertain. (more…)

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Why your IT department is incompetent

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Software at 9:47 am on Saturday, 17 March 2007

Complaints about IT are common. It is not difficult to find examples of gross incompetence. So why does it happen? (more…)

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Directors’ pay vs management theory

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment at 9:54 am on Friday, 16 March 2007

The justifications for spectacularly high pay for the upper ranks of management, particularly when in the form of options, are that high pay is needed to attract talent, and that performance related pay is needed to align directors interests with those of shareholders. There are flaws in this argument. (more…)

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Corruption: a simple test

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Politics at 7:38 am on Thursday, 15 March 2007

Given the reluctance of governments to investigate bribes paid to foreign governments, I want to suggest some simple tests for those who want to know if a particular company pays bribes. (more…)

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Open source: what investors need to know

Posted by Graeme in Business & Investment,Economics,Software at 8:43 am on Wednesday, 14 March 2007

I have blogged about open source before, but not specifically from an investors point of view. Because this is not a subject that most investors are familiar with, I am going to make this a basic introduction. (more…)

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